Keeneland plays host to the Grade I, $500,000 QEII Challenge Cup this Saturday. A field of nine three-year-old fillies, including division-leaders CATCH A GLIMPSE and TIME AND MOTION, has been entered for this 1 1/8-mile turf heat. Going as the ninth race on the program, estimated post time is 5:30 p.m. EST. Be sure to study this race carefully if you’re participating in FanXT’s Daily Fantasy Jockey game!
#1 CATCH A GLIMPSE and #7 TIME AND MOTION will face off for the third time in their respective careers in Saturday’s QEII Challenge Cup. CATCH A GLIMPSE and Florent Geroux surely have revenge on their minds after their stunning defeat in the Lake Placid Stakes at Saratoga in August at this distance. That defeat snapped an eight-race winning streak for CATCH A GLIMPSE, which included a half-length win over TIME AND MOTION in July’s Belmont Oaks.
Based on her body of work, a rebound is very possible for CATCH A GLIMPSE (2-1, morning-line favorite). She clearly has the pace edge, as there are no true frontrunners entered to keep her honest. TIME AND MOTION (5-2) will have to get a perfect ride under John Velazquez to have a shot at two straight victories over CATCH A GLIMPSE.
#5 HAWKSMOOR (6-1) appears to be the best of the entrants beyond the top two. She’ll be making her U.S. debut after a disappointing effort in the Group I Matron Stakes at Leopardstown. But she’s placed in five group races overseas, including two wins. It appears she can handle any going, and she’ll get the services of local expert rider Corey Lanerie.
#2 ON LEAVE (5-1) has won four straight for Jose Ortiz and Shug McGaughey, including the Sands Point Stakes last time out. She won that race on an easy lead, but has also shown the ability to win from off the pace in the past.
#9 MOKAT (12-1) could get overlooked shipping in from California for Richard Baltas. She’s taken a step forward since she returned from a May layoff, putting in a pair of nice rallies in the San Clemente Stakes (which she won) and the Del Mar Oaks (where she was a narrowly-beaten fourth). The two fillies that out-finished her in the Del Mar Oaks, #4 HARMONIZE and #3 STAYS IN VEGAS, figure to be overbet after catching better trips in that race than MOKAT did. Kent Desormeaux will fly in to ride.
The play: $2 trifecta 1,7/1,7/2,5,9 ($12)
DFJ analysis: You’ll hardly ever go wrong with John Velazquez ($10,000), and he has another strong hand on Saturday. Six of his seven mounts on the card are 5-1 or below in odds, including TIME AND MOTION in the richest race of the day. And Velazquez is tough to beat when the big money is on the line.
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