The Grade II, $200,000 Fayette Stakes is the closing day feature at Keeneland. The open-company 1 1/8-mile dirt event drew a field of seven. Post time for the Fayette, Race 9 of 10 on the card, is 5:30 p.m. EST. As always, feel free to take part in FanXT’s Daily Fantasy Jockey game!
#2 NICE NOT NICE (10-1) is ambitiously-spotted in the Fayette but has a case at a nice price. In four dirt starts this year, NICE NOT NICE has won two and placed in the other two. His most recent start, the Grade III Ack Ack, was his best yet speed figure-wise. He was second to the Breeders’ Cup bound Seeking the Soul. NICE NOT NICE should get a good set-up drafting behind #1 PRIME ATTRACTION and #5 LEOFRIC under Gabriel Saez.
#6 HOFBURG (5-2) is the main danger to the top pick, especially if the track comes up wet. Before an uncharacteristically poor outing in the Pennsylvania Derby, HOFBURG trounced the competition in a sloppy renewal of the Curlin Stakes at Saratoga. The former Triple Crown contender hasn’t missed a beat in training and will get Jose Ortiz aboard. HOFBURG will also get a three-pound weight allowance as the lone three-year-old in the field.
#5 LEOFRIC (5-2) could be dangerous if left unchecked up front. He wired a minor stake at Mountaineer on West Virginia Derby day two-back before getting caught late in the Woodward, where he settled for third. Florent Geroux will have the call as LEOFRIC gets a bit of class relief.
#1 PRIME ATTRACTION (2-1, morning-line favorite) has dropped six straight, all against graded foes, and it might become seven if the forecast doesn’t improve. PRIME ATTRACTION was a dismal sixth in the Santa Anita Gold Cup in his last try on a wet track, though the margin of defeat may have been amplified by the 1 1/4-mile distance. His distant third and fourth in the Pacific Classic and Awesome Again, respectively, don’t really inspire, though the speed figures he earned are competitive. PRIME ATTRACTION could win the Fayette, but he’s far from a tempting proposition. Kent Desormeaux ships in for the assignment.
The play: $2 exacta key box 2/1,5,6 ($12)
DFJ analysis: Jose Ortiz, a threat to win the jockey title, rides in eight races on the final card of the Keeneland fall meet. Five of the assignments are 4-1 or less on the morning-line. That includes HOFBURG in the Fayette.
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