A full field of 14 will contest the Grade III, $100,000 Autumn Miss Stakes at Santa Anita this Saturday. The one-mile turf event for three-year-old fillies is the featured 10th race on an 11-race program. Post time is estimated for 7:40 p.m. EST. In addition to watching and wagering, be sure to take part in FanXT’s Daily Fantasy Jockey game!
#6 TESORA (6-1) and her connections could best be described as “on the rise” going into the Autumn Miss. She flashed talent at two, winning her first two starts, before hitting the shelf for seven months. TESORA began 2018 with consecutive fourth-place results before bursting out with a career-best effort in Belmont’s Christiecat Stakes. Her winning effort at Del Mar last November answers today’s shipping and distance questions. Johnathan Thomas, who just recently won his first Grade I with Breeders’ Cup bound Catholic Boy, names talented young jockey Drayden Van Dyke to ride.
#13 FLAMMETTA (12-1) has stepped her game up since switching to closing tactics. After being dueled into defeat in her first start vs. winners in April, she reeled off two straight victories before finishing a close fifth in the Grade II San Clemente at Del Mar. The drop in class and return to her favorite track (4-3-0-0 at Santa Anita) should only help. Gary Stevens just needs to work out the right trip from this wide post.
#4 MS BAD BEHAVIOR (4-1) is always involved late but hasn’t found that needed development to put her over the top. Racing almost exclusively in stakes, MS BAD BEHAVIOR has compiled an impressive 7-2-3-1 record on turf and a 5-2-3-0 record at Santa Anita, which includes a win in the China Doll Stakes back in March. Rafael Bejarano will be in the irons on this consistent Richard Baltas trainee. MS BAD BEHAVIOR should be forwardly-placed in a race that doesn’t have a ton of early speed signed on.
#5 TOINETTE (9-5, morning-line favorite) could be a bad favorite as she hasn’t raced since a misfire in the Belmont Oaks back in July. If she returns to the level that saw her take the Edgewood two starts back, she’s a threat. But that is no guarantee. However, Flavien Prat staying aboard signals confidence.
The play: $3 exacta 6/4,5,13, $3 win 13 ($12)
DFJ analysis: Rafael Bejarano and his six-race day starts slowly with a 6-1 and 8-1 shot in small fields, but his last four mounts are strong. He rides two second-choices and the Race 8 favorite to start the Pick Six sequence before he gets a leg up on MS BAD BEHAVIOR in the Autumn Miss.
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